Texarkana, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

283
FXUS64 KSHV 051113
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
613 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

 - Cooler and drier conditions will continue to spill southeast
   into the region overnight behind a cold frontal passage, with
   any lingering light rain/drizzle ending by daybreak.

 - Beautiful conditions with slightly below normal temperatures
   and comfortable RH`s are expected for your Easter Sunday, which
   will persist into Monday.

 - Another prolonged period of dryness is expected to set up for
   much of this coming work week, before the potential for
   scattered showers and storms return by late week into next
   weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

The early morning sfc analysis indicates that our advertised cold
front has slipped S into the NW Gulf, Acadiana, and into the FLA
Parishes of SE LA. Despite this, the latest radar imagery and sfc
obs continue to indicate areas of -RA/+DZ that still lingers
post-frontal across portions of Deep E TX into WCntrl and NCntrl
LA, SE of a line from OCH, to 3F3, RSN to near MLU as of 0530Z,
mainly associated with the attendant H850-700 trough and the
deeper lyr of colder/drier air well behind the front that is
providing enough shallow ascent for this lingering light precip.
The short term progs depict that this shallow lyr of forcing will
be exiting our Cntrl LA Parishes by daybreak Sunday, and thus have
adjusted slight chance to low chance pops through the overnight
hours to account for this.

Low cigs will slowly diminish from NW to SE through and after
daybreak, although the lingering cu may take a little longer to
clear the SE zones around mid morning, with much cooler and drier
conditions continuing to spill S and deepen through the day behind
the front and ahead of strong sfc ridging that will build SE into
the Ozarks to the Gulf Coast later this afternoon. Despite an
increase in cirrus currently observed on the early morning
satellite spreading E beneath the large upper trough ejecting NE
through SE Ontario into the MS Valley, cooler and more comfortable
conditions with lower RH`s are expected for your Easter Sunday,
with breezy NE winds today decoupling after sunset with the loss
of mixing and the approach of the sfc ridging from the N.
Slightly below normal temps are expected, with some radiational
cooling expected tonight as the cirrus shield tries to thin late
especially across the Nrn half of the region. Near to below normal
temps will return Monday although insolation should begin to
increase with the diminishing cirrus, with better radiational
cooling expected Monday night resulting in even cooler temps
farther S across E TX/N LA than what is expected Monday morning.
Secondary sfc ridging remains progged to backdoor SW into the area
late Monday night/Tuesday morning, thus maintaining the dry air
mass in place through midweek. Bndry lyr winds are expected to
gradually veer more SE Wednesday through the remainder of the work
week, with low level moisture beginning to slowly increase by late
week.

Stronger insolation and low level moisture advection will result
in a more discernible warming trend for the latter half of the
work week as well, with the approach of a broad shortwave trough
over the Srn Plains Tuesday night and lingering over E TX/LA
Wednesday and Thursday potentially contributing to isolated shower
development over Cntrl and S LA each afternoon. The ensembles
suggest that the flow will eventually transition to SW over the
Srn Plains and Lower MS Valley by late week, which should
contribute to isolated to scattered convection over more of the
region. However, considerable model variability continues in
regards to the timing of the ejection of perturbations in this
flow regime, but in any case, another long duration of dry
conditions will again set up over the area for much of this coming
week, thus inhibiting any additional improvement to the ongoing
drought conditions in place.

15

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions to prevail across area terminals as high pressure
both at the surface and aloft build across the region. North winds
around 10 knots at the start of the period to become 10 to 15
knots with higher gusts later this morning, diminishing to 5
knots or less after 06/00Z. /05/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  48  73  46 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  70  48  72  45 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  69  39  72  41 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  69  44  73  46 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  69  42  71  42 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  69  46  73  47 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  69  46  73  45 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  70  47  74  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...15
AVIATION...05